Is this…real? Are you real?
Whoa, whoa, whoa…let’s back up, beep beep beep. And look at markets.
False markets are markets where the prices are reflective of manipulation of information. In a perfectly free market, everyone has all information available to them, allowing both buyers and sellers to make the best decisions. In a false market though, buyers are misled, causing them to make decisions they wouldn’t make if they knew the truth. Thus, a false market.
For instance, all schemes and fraudsters are creators of fake markets, selling buyers stuff they know doesn’t work or isn’t worth the price by a longshot. In the stock market, investors may create a false market from overreacting to news…since, you know, the news likes to make a big deal out of everything. Gotta get that ad revenue to stay alive. In other cases, though, investors are misled with blatant lies.
For instance...not naming names, but…this one guy tweeted that certain companies were under investigation (totally not true at all), which sent their stock prices plummeting to the stock floor.
As more and more people are entering the investment world through the much-hyped cryptocurrency market, it’s not uncommon for false markets to be created. People hype a certain cryptocurrency, causing the price to rise, before cashing out themselves, making a run for it, then disappearing (because, well, all the lies).
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Finance: What are Market Metrics?187 Views
Finance- a la shmoop. what are market metrics? hmm well the number of radishes we sold
on aisle four last week that's a market metric. the number of spills on aisle 12 [mop cleans up wine spill]
last month well that's a market metric. the number of customers who came into
the grocery store wearing clogs last year, that's a market metric. okay so
that's a different market a grocery store but the concepts are the same. [produce shown]
instead of shopping for discounted radishes, well investors are shopping
for stocks that are either on sale or fulfill the need of that night's
financial dinner. the key metrics well price to earnings ratio and there's
a whole open Shmoop video on this one. but that's the price of the stock divided by [equation shown]
its earnings. so let's think about coca-cola K.O. it's trading for 50 bucks
a share and let's also say that they'll only earn 250 this year .only. so it's
market metric of a price to earnings ratio 20 50 bucks - 50 share price
divided by earnings is the price to earnings ratio. it's 20 all right another
metric price to sales- that is how many times revenue is a given stock. for
example Dow Chemical trades at three times revenues it also trades at about
16 times earnings. but why would you care about a revenue multiple isn't the goal
of companies to produce profits not revenue? like who really cares about [100 dollar bill]
revenues? well yeah you actually do. here's why. profits
change dramatically from year to year whereas revenues well they're relatively
steady. that is in a good year revenues from Dow might grow fifteen percent, and [ chart shown]
earnings might be up eighty. in a bad year revenues might decline 3% but
earnings might be down a hundred percent or more. so if you're an investor you're
gonna want some kind of anchor in your analysis that sets kind of a range at
which Dow Chemicals should trade so that you're not getting violently whipped [an anchor sinks into the water]
around by earnings numbers changing so dramatically in the course of a
decade-long market or economic cycle .so those metrics price to earnings and
price to sales revolve around the individual analysis of a single stock.
there are other metrics investors look at like volume. no not that kind of [hand turns up volume know]
volume .volume as. in the number of shares traded on a given
day in a given market like Nasdaq or the NYC, or you know something like. that
so this metric focuses on the number of shares traded in a given stock overall.
so if whatever.com had 20% of its total shares outstanding trade in a given day [power point explanation]
like it had 20 million shares outstanding in four million suddenly
traded in that day versus its normal one percent of shares like on 20 million
normal would be two hundred thousand something like that, so it's had 20 times
the volume in a given day, well what does that mean ?well clearly something
happened for there to be 20 times the normal volume of trading. is there a take [man speaks to camera]
out rumor? Is Google buying it? did they do a secondary and insiders dumped? was
there some good news? bad news? what happened ? what did the stock do? did they
have a great quarter and tons of investors now believe this is
sustainable and they all want in so they buy the stock and it goes up big that
day? or did the company miss a quarter and then they all sell it down by 50% by
the time the day is done, sell more to more sell like that? while stock moves on
big volume usually imply something intrinsic about the stock. something
really good has usually happened and the big volume means that the best analysts
and investors on Wall Street are reviewing the data carefully. the market [man examines computer charts]
metrics. and in whereas a stock might soften 5 ,10 even 20 percent on very low
volume which means that do it's likely people are just ignoring it more or less,
and that stock just fades downward until some analyst rings a bell that whatever.com [man walks away from frowning woman]
has suddenly gotten really cheap and then everyone buys it bids it up to
its proper price. and well that's what makes a market. so it doesn't matter if
you're selling radishes or whatever product whatever.com happens to make
this week, market metrics will help you determine if your company is an
unbelievable success, or if, you know the most epic of fails. [man walks past with baskets of produce]
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