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Econ: What are Determinants of Economic Growth? 2 Views
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What are Determinants of Economic Growth? The primary determinants of a country’s economic growth are the goods and services that comprise the Gross Domestic Product compared to that of a past time period and adjusted for inflation.
Transcript
- 00:00
And finance Allah Shmoop What are the determinants of economic
- 00:04
growth Shmoop let's talk money And specifically let's talk The
- 00:10
reason some countries have a lot of money and some
- 00:13
countries have well less This is pretty much the oldest
- 00:16
question in economics Aside from the one about you know
Full Transcript
- 00:19
why the Kinsey in cross the road anyway this guy
- 00:22
this guy's Adam Smith He's the godfather of economics He'll
- 00:25
make you an offer You can put on a supply
- 00:28
and demand curves Well his first best selling book was
- 00:31
as you probably know everybody poops Yeah you confined it
- 00:34
today in your local book suppository But here we're talking
- 00:37
about macro economics Yeah his second big hit It was
- 00:41
published in seventeen seventy six and was called the Wealth
- 00:44
of Nations Sort of a tale of two cities only
- 00:47
with countries The book covers question of Well why some
- 00:50
countries that had a lot of money and others had
- 00:52
last and well here we are almost two hundred fifty
- 00:54
years later on everything's been solved and people are all
- 00:57
happy around the world and every economic issue of inequality
- 01:01
and someone is clear now right Yeah I know Pretty
- 01:03
much the absolute opposite So what are the determinants of
- 01:07
economic growth Or set another way What makes some countries
- 01:11
wealthy and what makes some poor eye what determines economic
- 01:15
success You know what A countrywide level Okay let's think
- 01:17
about how economic growth is measured Well the main measure
- 01:20
of economic growth in most of the world is GDP
- 01:23
I eat gross domestic product which is what you used
- 01:27
to clean up that crowd that started growing on the
- 01:29
floor of your bathtub last week Yeah your little brother
- 01:31
Trevor claims he had nothing to do with actually GDP
- 01:34
As a measure of an economies output it represents the
- 01:36
sum total of all the stuff people make and all
- 01:39
the services they provide Well there's nothing economist love more
- 01:43
than when GDP well grows you know like a kid
- 01:46
from the eighties taking care of their Chia pet Well
- 01:48
the same is true with GDP Constant growth is seen
- 01:51
as a sign that an economy is Elfi Think of
- 01:53
it like a tree If there's enough rain and sunlight
- 01:56
even giant sequoias are going to get a little bigger
- 01:58
each year until they're chopped down and used to make
- 02:00
packaging material Another thing to keep in mind Economies come
- 02:04
in different sizes The U S Economy is like that
- 02:06
giant sequoia you know pre chain sawing annual GDP Around
- 02:11
eighteen trillion dollars Biggest economy in the world Other countries
- 02:15
economies are smaller Some of them are much smaller This
- 02:18
thing here Yeah this country It's Lichtenstein It's a tiny
- 02:22
country In Europe the GDP of Liechtenstein is six point
- 02:25
seven billion dollars If the U S is a sequoia
- 02:28
Well Lichtenstein is Ah bonzai tree while Lichtenstein's GDP is
- 02:32
basically the change found in the couch cushions of the
- 02:36
U S But remember we're talking about GDP growth here
- 02:39
not just the overall aggregate number that comprises GDP For
- 02:43
instance Lichtenstein had a good run of GDP growth back
- 02:46
in the nineties and Lichtenstein has also had a pretty
- 02:48
good run lately Like Ramon I know fourteen GDP The
- 02:51
country grew four point five billion dollars to that six
- 02:54
point seven billion dollars figure there That's an annual average
- 02:57
growth of eight point one percent over that six year
- 02:59
span Pretty good Well Lichtenstein's GDP is driven by resort
- 03:03
skiing and the production of helmets and the production of
- 03:06
Well Lichtenstein Ian's Yeah of which they're the number one
- 03:09
producer in the world So how does this all happen
- 03:12
What makes GDP grow Whether an economy is bigger small
- 03:15
Well Lichtenstein for instance benefits from its strong banking and
- 03:19
financial sector It's no surprise that it saw big growth
- 03:22
in the go go nineties Lots of sudden dot com
- 03:24
millionaires looking for offshore places Teo you know store their
- 03:28
cash and avoid taxes presumably And then there's Saudi Arabia
- 03:31
Well for generations this was just a sandy homeland for
- 03:34
wondering nomadic tribes Not much growth Then oil was discovered
- 03:38
And while suddenly one of the biggest economic growth spots
- 03:41
on the glove right there well how about China Well
- 03:44
during the early communist days the country was isolated and
- 03:46
pour It had trouble feeding everybody much less leading the
- 03:50
world in economic exuberance Well then the country opened itself
- 03:53
up to trade made itself the world's leading manufacturer Of
- 03:56
all the trinkets and commemorative plates that we all order
- 03:59
every night from Amazon it has become the growth story
- 04:02
of the last thirty years So what do these examples
- 04:05
have in common Well that question brings us to the
- 04:08
determinants of economic growth Like we said economists have been
- 04:12
thinking about this stuff for a long time Exactly how
- 04:14
many determinants you list depends on how specific you want
- 04:17
to be Some economists get more specific than others but
- 04:20
the list breaks down into some general categories here for
- 04:23
major ones that contribute to GDP growth Access to natural
- 04:27
resource is right access to labor intellectual capital in a
- 04:30
stable society right Well first on our list a country
- 04:33
that control's important or scarce resource is that everybody wants
- 04:37
everybody cares about Well if Khun generate a lot of
- 04:39
growth by mining that resource recall Saudi Arabia same goes
- 04:43
for you a United Arab Emirates and a bunch of
- 04:46
other Middle Eastern countries In the second half of the
- 04:48
twentieth century they discovered oil and well They stopped riding
- 04:51
camels and started driving Lam Bo's a natural resource had
- 04:54
become a determinant of their economic growth Up next on
- 04:58
the list access to labor countries with a lot of
- 05:00
people can provide an important economic contributor right Lots of
- 05:04
cheap man hours Well sometimes this is just labor in
- 05:07
general Like with China When it opened itself up for
- 05:10
trade and put its billion plus people to work while
- 05:12
it basically became the unskilled labour capital of the world
- 05:16
Everyone's factory floor labor force which has driven growth in
- 05:19
the country for decades and made it a superpower well
- 05:22
Countries with big populations tend to have an edge in
- 05:24
this area but just having a lot of people are
- 05:26
a lot of valuable resource is doesn't always lead to
- 05:29
economic growth There are other elements involved that matters what
- 05:32
kind of labor you have So what kind of labor
- 05:35
Well let's think Intellectual capital Someone who can engineer a
- 05:38
self driving car has a lot more value than a
- 05:41
worker who can you know drive a car as another
- 05:44
example Well let's look at South Korea The country famously
- 05:47
has one of the world's most elaborate cellphone networks No
- 05:51
trouble getting a superfast data coverage there Even though it's
- 05:54
a relatively small country both in terms of population Natural
- 05:57
resource is it's able to grow its economy by staying
- 05:59
on The technological cutting edge aren't also helpful Yeah a
- 06:02
strong education system It can be true within countries as
- 06:06
well that you have this this cultural edge Look at
- 06:09
Silicon Valley High tech companies thrive here because well they
- 06:12
can draw from the PhDs that air cranked out from
- 06:15
Stanford and UC Berkeley And you know they're right around
- 06:17
the corner Or country might have a strong court system
- 06:20
that can enforce patents and intellectual property if it chooses
- 06:24
Teoh right If you came up with a new baldness
- 06:26
cure would you go found a company in the U
- 06:28
K Where they can enforce your patents Or would you
- 06:31
go to Somalia or India and you know talk to
- 06:34
the bald headed pirates there Yeah another example A stable
- 06:38
banking system that attracts capital Remember our buddies and Lichtenstein
- 06:41
while those banks bringing in global wealth or you just
- 06:44
walk around the southern tip of Manhattan for a while
- 06:47
When you think about sustainable economic growth you're thinking places
- 06:50
like the US UK China etcetera like the UK is
- 06:53
government goes back almost a thousand years no civil wars
- 06:56
of no roving bands of paramilitary groups and no warlords
- 07:00
And there's actually a thing called the Fragile States Index
- 07:04
put out by a think tank called Fund for Peace
- 07:07
Top of list South Sudan then Somalia then Yemen and
- 07:10
then Syria Alright well not coincidentally South Sudan's GDP dropped
- 07:15
six point three percent Two thousand seventeen Yemen saw two
- 07:18
percent contraction Syria Well it's hard to get the figures
- 07:21
for Syria because it's in the middle of an active
- 07:23
civil war and then you have Somalia which is actually
- 07:26
the best of the bunch Its GDP expanded two point
- 07:28
four percent in two thousand seventeen taking advantage of its
- 07:32
intellectual capital in piracy to drive growth Now stable society
- 07:35
doesn't necessarily mean a free society It might be nice
- 07:38
to get free speech and free assembly like you have
- 07:41
in the U S or the U K But just
- 07:42
for economic growth while the key component is stability or
- 07:45
trust places like China where the communist government keeps a
- 07:49
lid on political dissent and on Google which it has
- 07:52
to censor its search results Or you have Singapore where
- 07:55
chewing gum is illegal and you can literally get caned
- 07:58
for breaking law Well the's air still traditionally high growth
- 08:01
places The growth comes despite there being famously repressive government
- 08:06
Well so country like Nigeria which has the seventh highest
- 08:09
population in the world and abundant natural resource is including
- 08:12
membership in OPEC Well they can't sustain any economic growth
- 08:16
Why will the country continues to see cycles of revolution
- 08:19
and unrest from unfair wealth allocation by the corrupt government
- 08:23
there it can't sustain a stable society which doesn't allow
- 08:27
it to build sustained intellectual capital It can't take advantage
- 08:30
of its access to labor or access to natural resource
- 08:33
is to drive sustained economic growth so well it's prospects
- 08:36
are pretty dim But if you bring all the determinants
- 08:40
of growth together big population lots of resource is stable
- 08:43
society Strong intellectual capital Well you've got something like well
- 08:47
say the U S In the nineteenth century where we
- 08:49
went from Well a nearly forgettable former colony to being
- 08:53
the largest economy in the world producing one of the
- 08:56
all time great GDP growth spurts in World history Way
- 09:00
did it only after we got rid of the pirates 00:09:02.644 --> [endTime] So hey Somalia You paying attention No
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